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 Four more singers will go home Monday — with viewers voting through 10, and the judges saving two others. I’ve already made it clear that Casey is a lock for the top 12, but let’s assess Sunday’s other performers and try to predict the rest.

Alyssa Ray, “Killing Me Softly With His Song”

Alyssa started off sounding a bit frog-throated, as if the song was in too low a key. I am beginning to worry that she set the bar too high with her first audition — which the judges declared would go down in Idol history — and now she can never recapture that glory. She may have peaked too early. But as Randy Jackson would say, Alyssa worked it out in the end, powering through Sunday’s Roberta Flack cover, so there’s still a chance that she could go far. Lionel cautioned her about her song pacing, but called this a “stellar performance” overall. Katy described this performance as “totally a vibe” and said, “I've never heard you in that way. You were actually an artist for the first time in my eyes today.”

Graham DeFranco, “That’s Life” Owl My Perfect Day Wake Up Read Books Shirt

Graham has a compelling backstory, but for me he has always been better on paper than onstage. He had a decent night last week, especially during his Ben Rector duet, but I still think he coasted to the top 16 mostly on likability. I would have preferred his spot to go to a go-for-broke singer like Alana, Andrea, Anilee, or Jason instead. Anyway, I have no idea what Graham was thinking doing some weird, swag-free, SNL’s The Mellow Show jam-band version of “That’s Life” — at the very least, he could have perked things up with the David Lee Roth version! This was instantly forgettable; maybe this pilot never really wanted this Idol dream, because he was totally on autopilot and asleep at the wheel. (Sorry for the mixed aviation metaphors; I just couldn’t resist.) “What's really endearing about you is you keep being the guy that can't believe he's here. I mean, people pull for that guy, because you're just being you,” grinned Luke. Said Katy, “I just think you're an underdog and everybody wants to root for you… and I'm glad you're starting to believe in it.” Eh, I don’t know. I don’t find Graham’s lazy shtick endearing, and I’m not a believer.

Grace Kinstler, “Elastic Heart”

This is when the episode really got going for me. Tapping into the Glamazonian-warrior spirit of last week’s cover of Jessie J’s body-positivity anthem “Queen,” Grace delivered once again, power-note after powe- note. This was a simple performance, just a woman with her microphone stand and what Luke called a “race-car, thoroughbred voice” — but that’s all that was needed to make an impact. This performance felt classic and modern at the same time, and Grace, despite later confessing that she was nervous, owned the moment. Lionel rightfully called her “a force to be reckoned with.”

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